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C.A.R. Released Its Forecast For 2025 And Expects Both Home Sales And Home Prices To Continue Their Upward Trend

 

 
 

October 5, 2024

Good morning,

 

The housing market continues to adjust to the first rate cut by the Federal Reserve in years, sliding mortgage rates, and an economy that keeps surprising to the upside. Putting all of these factors together, C.A.R. released its forecast for 2025 and expects both home sales and home prices to continue their upward trend.

 

Home sales are expected to rise by more than 10% next year as dwindling interest rates help to bolster demand and unlock critical housing supply to generate a second consecutive uptick in transactions. Home prices are expected to continue their upward trend as well since the increase in supply will still leave inventory very tight by historical standards. Even though inventory will be up from the past two years, it will only help to normalize price growth from the double-digit range, where it was earlier this year, into the mid-single-digits in 2025.

 

If you have any questions regarding our local market, please reach out.

Have a great weekend!

 

Information + Updates

Did You Know?

62% of renters renewed their leases in the second quarter of this year, up from 60.5% a year ago. (WSJ)

 

Did You Know?

Math stands for…...

 

M - Measurement,

A - Analysis,

T - Techniques, and

H - Hypothesis

 

Did You Know?

BANK-flation? Those who argue that some entities did not purposefully profit from the inflation narrative might want to evaluate this: US banks made a $1 TRILLION windfall from the Federal Reserve’s two-and-a-half-year era of high interest rates, an analysis of official data by the Financial Times has found. Lenders got higher yields for their deposits at the Fed but kept rates lower for many savers, the review of Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation data showed. The boost to the US’s 4,000-plus banks helped pad profit margins. (FT)

 

Did You Know?

Hurricane Helene will cause $25 - $30 billion in physical damage and losses. The majority of that won’t be covered by insurance. Roughly 4% of Americans have flood insurance. (Bloomberg)

 

Did You Know?

A sizable effort is being made to harvest seeds of native plant species: Invasive plants can do extensive damage to ecosystems and increase fire risks. But native plants can reduce both risk and damage from wildfires. Fire-resistant landscaping emphasizes low-growing, deep-rooted, moisture retaining plants.

 

Did You Know?

The PCE price index, a measure the Fed focuses on to measure the cost of goods and services in the U.S. economy, rose 0.1% for the month, putting the 12-month inflation rate at 2.2%. Excluding food and energy, core PCE rose 0.1% in August and was up 2.7% from a year ago. The all-items inflation gauge was below Wall Street estimates and the lowest since early 2021.

 

Did You Know?

BANK-flation? Those who argue that some entities did not purposefully profit from the inflation narrative might want to evaluate this: US banks made a $1 TRILLION windfall from the Federal Reserve’s two-and-a-half-year era of high interest rates, an analysis of official data by the Financial Times has found. Lenders got higher yields for their deposits at the Fed but kept rates lower for many savers, the review of Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation data showed. The boost to the US’s 4,000-plus banks helped pad profit margins. (FT)

 

Did You Know?

Gold-rushes, Arms races, Oil-rushes.....now we are in the midst of a power rush as technology companies scramble to secure massive swaths of power for their tech, especially A.I..... will EV's be the victim? Who has more power to sway policy: tech companies or car manufacturers? For decades consumers have been encouraged to reduce power consumption with LED lighting and energy efficient systems/appliances.....many data centers use the same amount of power as entire large cities. Who is picking up the tab? (WSJ)

 

Did You Know?

That on the US highways system if the highway ends in a 0 then you are traveling from East and west through the country. If theHighway ends in a 5, your are traveling vertically (north and south). Check out this video.

"Are Algorithms entitled to free speech?" 

– Bill Maher. So much of what we see in the media online and in social media is fueled by algorithms. Do algorithms have the same rights as humans?

 

“Being good is easy, what is difficult is being just.”

– Victor Hugo

That Was Then

Emerald Bay in 1955

 

(Thank you Laurie, I love it when friends send me good content for the newsletter.)

 

Seeing Is Believing

Meet Orion

The most advanced AR glasses ever made. 

Watch Video
 

It Never Hurts to Ask

People Want to Help You….. You Just Have to Ask….

 

At just 12 years old, Steve Jobs showed early signs of his bold and innovative spirit.

 

Hewlett-Packard’s co-founder not only provided the spare parts Steve Jobs asked for but also offered him summer internships at HP, giving young Steve early exposure to the world of technology.

 

This reflected Steve’s curiosity and persistence that would later revolutionize the tech world.

Check it Out
 

Preservation

During this crazy time in our lives, we have to be grateful that there are places safeguarding our seeds incase there is a horrific event…. Norway has such a place they call the doomsday vault… it has just over 1.2 millions seed banks to preserve all of our plants…. 

Check it Out
 

One More Day....

A child asked Warren buffet what he would say to Charlie Munger if he had just one more day with him...

Watch Video
 

Price Improvement - $8,695,000

328 Emerald Bay | Laguna Beach

Watch Video
View Listing
 

For Sale

510 Emerald Bay | Laguna Beach

 

$10,500,000

 

Watch Video
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For Sale

30982 Steeplechase Drive | San Juan Capistrano

 

$4,950,000

 

Watch Video
View Listing
 

Coming Soon

41 Emerald Bay

 

3 Beds | 3 Baths | $6,900,000

Details

Listed by Rod Daley

 

Flexible Year Round Rental

Flexible Rental (Not 12 Months)

Emerald Bay Market Update

 

We have 6 homes currently on the market ranging from $9,100,000 - $32,000,000, with 41 Emerald Bay coming on the market on Monday at $6,900,000.

 

Only 4 homes have sold this year, 3 of them have been off market:

 

154 Emerald Bay

307 Emerald Bay

1201 Emerald Bay

1415 Emerald Bay

 

Reach out to me for details…..

 
 
 
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Maura Short is known for her strong work ethic, broad industry know-how, and passion for architecture, in addition to her extensive network, confidentiality, and moral code. Combined with her wide-ranging local expertise, all of these assets result in favorable outcomes for both buyers and sellers under her care.
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